01 · Research
Forecast
An engine states market, instrument, direction, probability, confidence, horizon, rationale, and provenance. It cannot place an order.
forecast_id → source → confidencetengu.trade/v1
Traceable trading contracts
The common language connecting forecasts, risk decisions, paper order intents, and execution results.
Version 1 active
02 · Policy
Risk decision
The gateway approves or rejects a forecast under the active kill switch, confidence threshold, and exposure caps.
forecast_id → decision_id → approved03 · Paper intent
Order intent
An approved decision becomes an idempotent, bounded paper-order request. Duplicate submissions cannot create another intent.
decision_id → intent_id → notional04 · Audit
Execution result
The sandbox result records rejected, submitted, filled, or cancelled state and retains the full causal chain.
intent_id → execution_id → statusSafety guarantees
- Forecasting services receive no administrator, wallet, or broker credentials.
- Every write to the risk boundary is authenticated and idempotent.
- The kill switch persists across restarts and currently starts active.
- Unknown fields are rejected, while valid JSON enums and timestamps are accepted.